UKERC (2009): Global Oil Depletion – An assessment of the evidence for a near-term peak in global oil production

UKERC (2009): Global Oil Depletion – An assessment of the evidence for a near-term peak in global oil production

UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC), October 2009. Copia disponible en

Steve Sorrell
Jamie Speirs
Roger Bentley
Adam Brandt
Richard Miller

This report summarises the main conclusions from the TPA’s assessment of evidence for global oil depletion. The subject of this assessment was chosen after consultation with energy sector stakeholders and upon the recommendation of the TPA Advisory Group, which is comprised of independent experts from government, academia and the private sector. The assessment addresses the following question:
What evidence is there to support the proposition that the global supply of
‘conventional oil’ will be constrained by physical depletion before 2030?

Genero: Informes y estudios
Subjects: Adam Brandt, diagnóstico, energía, investigación, Jamie Speirs, peak oil, reino unido, Richard Miller, Roger Bentley, Steve Sorrell, Sussex Energy Group, UK Energy Research Centre, UKERC
Bristol Green Capital Peak Oil Taskforce (2009): Building a Positive Future for Bristol after Peak Oil

Bristol Green Capital Peak Oil Taskforce (2009): Building a Positive Future for Bristol after Peak Oil

Bristol Green Capital Peak Oil Taskforce, for Bristol City Council and the Bristol Partnership.

Página acerca del informe en el web del ayuntamiento de Bristol:

Disponible en:

The Green Momentum Group and Bristol City
Council wish to thank:
• The peak oil taskforce for compiling the report: Simone Osborn (author), Dan Green,
Peter Lipman, Kate Hoare, Susan Warren, James Durie
• Inez Aponte for the future scenarios
• All the individuals and organisations who provided information or feedback for the

Part 1 –
Peak oil and its significance for Bristol
Part 2 –
1. Peak oil in Bristol
2. Cross sector implications
3. Transport and mobility
4. Food
5. Healthcare
6. Public services
7. Key economic sectors
8. Power and utilities
9. Summary
Part 3 –
Options for action
Key terms
Appendices –
1. An introduction to peak oil
2. Alternative fuels
3. UK natural gas, coal and electricity
4. Who else is considering the issue of peak oil
5. Portland, Oregon peak oil resolution

Genero: Informes y estudios
Subjects: 2009, alimentación, ayuntamientos, bristol, Bristol City Council, Bristol Green Capital, consecuencias del peak oil, consecuencias económicas, consecuencias sociales, Dan Green, economía, energía, energías alternativas, english, gobiernos locales, Green Capital Momentum Group, Inez Aponte, James Durie, Kate Hoare, movilidad, peak oil, Peak Oil Taskforce, Peter Lipman, políticas públicas, preparación ante el peak oil, propuestas, reino unido, servicios públicos, Simone Osborn, Susan Warren, the Bristol Partnership, trasporte

Aleklett, Kjell; Höök, Mikael; Jakobsson, Kristofer; Lardelli, Michael; Snowden, Simon; Söderbergh, Bengt (2009): The Peak of the Oil Age – The Uppsala World Energy Outlook

November 2009

Disponible en

A new study has been accepted for publication in the journal of Energy Policy. The article performs an analysis of the oil production forecast done my the International Energy Agency in 2008 and highlights several shortcomings as well as confirms oher parts.

The assessment of future global oil production presented in the IEA‟s World Energy Outlook 2008 (WEO 2008) is divided into 6 fractions; four relate to crude oil, one to non-conventional oil and the final fraction is natural-gas-liquids (NGL). Using the production parameter, depletion-rate-of-recoverable-resources, we have analyzed the four crude oil fractions and found that the 75 Mb/d of crude oil production forecast for the year 2030 appears significantly overstated, and is more likely to be in the region of 55 Mb/d. Moreover, analysis of the other fractions strongly suggests lower than expected production levels. In total, our analysis points to a world oil supply in 2030 of 75 Mb/d, some 26 Mb/d lower than the IEA predicts.
The connection between economic growth and energy use is fundamental in the IEA‟s present modelling approach. Since our forecast sees little chance of a significant increase in global oil production, our findings suggest that the «policy makers, investors and end users» to whom WEO 2008 is addressed should rethink their future plans for economic growth. The fact that global oil production has very probably passed its maximum implies that we have reached the Peak of the Oil Age.

Genero: Artículos, Informes y estudios
Subjects: diagnóstico, energía, english, journal of Energy Policy, peak oil, política energética

SHARMAN, HUGH (2011): Renewables won’t keep the lights on

(Originally entitled “Are Green Times just around the corner?”)


Dr John Constable, the Director of Research at the Renewable Energy Foundation ( has written an important new article, entitled «Renewables won’t keep the lights on», for the on-line Standpoint Magazine at

Genero: Artículos WWW
Subjects: 2011,, energía, energías renovables, english, John Constable, límites de las energías renovables, previsiones, reino unido
Institution of Mechanical Engineers (2011): Population: One Planet, Too Many People?

Institution of Mechanical Engineers (2011): Population: One Planet, Too Many People?

Disponible en

Resumen, notas de prensa, aparición en los medios, etc.:

By 2100, the global human population may reach 9.5 billion with 75% of these people located within urban settlements. Meeting the needs and demands of these people will provide significant challenges to governments and society at large, and the engineering profession in particular.

Four key areas in which population growth and expanding affluence will significantly challenge society are: food, water, urbanisation and energy.

Genero: Informes y estudios
Subjects: 2011, agua, ahorro energético, alimentos, diagnóstico, energía, energía renovable, ingeniería, previsiones, propuestas, superpoblación, tecnología, urbanización

DECC (2011): The risks and impacts of a potential future decline in oil production

UK Department of Energy & Climate Change.

Disponible (?) en

A DECC report summarising the main outputs of an internal project undertaken in 2007 by then BERR officials on the issues surrounding peak oil…

Genero: Informes y estudios, Presentaciones
Subjects: 2007, 2011, consecuencias del peak oil, DECC, diagnóstico, energía, english, peak oil, política energética, políticas públicas, previsiones, reino unido