This report argues that governments have failed to acknowledge a looming oil supply crunch. Their collective failure means we have lost a decade in which action could have been taken. Recognition of the oil supply crunch would also have injected a sense of urgency and increased ambition into climate change negotiations.
A research project commissioned by Siemens Limited.
This publication is a management summary of a more in depth analysis presented by the
researchers. The full report is available on request from Siemens Limited.
This paper explores similarities and differences between the run‐up of oil prices in 2007‐08 and earlier oil price shocks, looking at what caused the price increase and what effects it had on the economy. Whereas historical oil price shocks were primarily caused by physical disruptions of supply, the price run‐up of 2007‐08 was caused by strong demand confronting stagnating world production. Although the causes were different, the consequences for the economy appear to have been very similar to those observed in earlier episodes, with significant effects on overall consumption spending and purchases of domestic automobiles in particular. In the absence of those declines, it is unlikely that we would have characterized the period 2007:Q4 to 2008:Q3 as one of economic recession for the U.S. The experience of 2007‐08 should thus be added to the list of recessions to which oil prices appear to have made a material contribution.
Existen otras ediciones (¿anteriores? ¿posteriores?) con un subtítulo diferente: How to protect yourself -AND PROFIT- from the coming energy crisis.
Financial guru Stephen Leeb shows how following oil prices can lead investors to real financial security. A storm is coming-an inflationary ‘perfect storm’ whipped up by skyrocketing oil prices that will lay waste to millions of portfolios if investors don’t prepare.Renowned financial advisor Stephen Leeb asserts that in this perilous period, oil prices will drive all other economic indicators. But there is a way to diversify away from disaster, by dedicating a significant part of one’s portfolio to real assets that keep their value relative to inflation. Here, Leeb helps readers pick the ‘energy-producer star performers,’ and reveals the ‘double payoff’ to investing in metals like platinum and silver. He also explains why the stocks of ‘mega-insurers’ are a safe bet, and shows how investing in real estate does not have to mean actually owning it. Filled with sound advice for an unstable marketplace, this is the book no one with a 401K can afford to miss.
